Financial Forecasting & Scenario Analysis Training Course

Course Overview

Learning Objectives

• Analyze historical financial and operational performance to identify the key drivers required for reliable financial forecasting during the first day of the course.
• Develop structured financial forecasts covering revenue, costs, profitability, working capital, capital expenditure, and cash flow by the end of the program.
• Evaluate the quality and relevance of forecasting assumptions and assess their potential impact on financial performance.
• Apply quantitative and driver-based forecasting techniques to develop practical and transparent financial projections.
• Design integrated financial forecasts that connect operational assumptions with projected financial statements and cash flows.
• Develop base, upside, downside, and stress scenarios to assess alternative business and financial outcomes.
• Apply sensitivity analysis to determine how changes in key assumptions affect revenue, profitability, liquidity, cash flow, and financial performance.
• Evaluate financial risks and identify early warning indicators that may affect forecast reliability and organizational performance.
• Assess the implications of alternative strategic, operational, financing, and market scenarios for budgeting and resource allocation.
• Prepare and present a professional forecasting and scenario analysis report that supports management decision-making during the final workshop.

Who Should Attend

Learning Outcomes

• Explain the principles and applications of financial forecasting and scenario analysis in corporate decision-making.
• Analyze historical financial statements and operational information to identify key forecasting drivers.
• Develop reliable forecasts for revenue, operating costs, profitability, working capital, capital expenditure, and cash flow.
• Apply driver-based and assumption-based forecasting techniques to different business environments.
• Build integrated financial forecasts that connect operational assumptions with projected financial statements.
• Develop base, upside, downside, and stress scenarios to assess alternative financial outcomes.
• Perform sensitivity analysis to evaluate the impact of changes in key assumptions on financial performance.
• Assess the effects of market conditions, cost changes, revenue variations, financing assumptions, and operational risks on forecast results.
• Identify forecast risks, weak assumptions, inconsistencies, and early warning indicators that may affect planning decisions.
• Prepare and present a professional financial forecasting and scenario analysis report with clear conclusions and recommendations for management.

Course Outline