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Quest Training

Emerging Risks & Horizon Scanning Training Course

Builds the ability to spot emerging risks early, read weak signals from external developments and assess their implications for strategy and resilience.

ESRM · Enterprise & Strategic Risk ManagementAll Levels#2764ClassroomEnglish , Arabic
Duration
5 Days
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Free substitution at any time · 30+ days' notice: full refund minus 10%. Cancellation policy

Sectors:Risk, Compliance & GovernanceCategories:Enterprise & Strategic Risk Management

Course Overview

This course develops practical capabilities for identifying emerging risks, monitoring external developments, and anticipating changes that may affect organizational strategy, operations, and resilience. Participants learn to distinguish emerging risks from established risks, assess weak signals, and evaluate potential implications before they become significant threats. The programme covers horizon scanning, scenario analysis, risk prioritization, early-warning indicators, and integration with enterprise risk management. Practical exercises focus on building a structured scanning process, evaluating plausible future developments, and translating findings into management actions and strategic planning priorities.

Learning Objectives

  • Explain emerging risk management and horizon scanning principles.
  • Identify weak signals and external drivers of change.
  • Monitor technological, economic, geopolitical, regulatory, environmental, and social developments.
  • Evaluate the potential impact and uncertainty of emerging risks.
  • Apply scenario analysis to explore alternative future developments.
  • Establish early-warning indicators and monitoring thresholds.
  • Prioritize emerging risks according to strategic relevance and potential impact.
  • Integrate horizon scanning into enterprise risk management.
  • Communicate emerging risk insights to senior management and decision-makers.
  • Develop an actionable emerging risk monitoring and response plan.

Who Should Attend

This course is designed for risk managers, strategic planning professionals, corporate governance specialists, compliance officers, business continuity managers, internal auditors, strategy teams, and executives responsible for organizational resilience and long-term decision-making. It is particularly relevant to government entities, ministries, banks, financial institutions, oil and gas companies, industrial organizations, and large corporations operating in rapidly changing environments where technological disruption, regulatory changes, geopolitical developments, and market shifts can affect strategic objectives and operational continuity.

Learning Outcomes

  • Distinguish emerging risks from known and established risks.
  • Identify weak signals and external trends relevant to organizational objectives.
  • Structure a horizon scanning process using appropriate information sources.
  • Assess uncertainty, potential impact, and the speed of risk development.
  • Develop scenarios to examine plausible future threats and opportunities.
  • Establish early-warning indicators and escalation criteria.
  • Rank emerging risks using transparent prioritization criteria.
  • Link horizon scanning findings to enterprise risk registers and strategic plans.
  • Present emerging risk insights through concise management reports.
  • Develop monitoring responsibilities and response actions for priority risks.

Course Outline

Day 1

Emerging Risk Fundamentals and External Drivers

  • Definitions and characteristics of emerging risks.
  • Differences between emerging, current, and systemic risks.
  • External drivers of change: technology, economics, geopolitics, regulation, environment, and society.
  • Understanding uncertainty, complexity, interdependence, and rapid change.
  • Identifying weak signals, early developments, and potential disruptions.
  • Assessing how external changes affect organizational objectives and critical services.
  • Practical exercise: Identify emerging risk signals relevant to a selected organization and classify them by source and potential business impact.
Day 2

Horizon Scanning Methods and Information Analysis

  • Designing a structured horizon scanning process.
  • Identifying reliable information sources, including regulatory updates, industry reports, research, and expert insights.
  • Applying trend monitoring, environmental scanning, and structured information collection.
  • Distinguishing meaningful signals from noise and short-term fluctuations.
  • Identifying emerging patterns, drivers, and interconnections.
  • Assessing source credibility, evidence quality, and information limitations.
  • Establishing scanning frequency, ownership, and documentation procedures.
  • Practical exercise: Build a horizon scanning log with source references, observed signals, potential implications, and follow-up actions.
Day 3

Risk Assessment, Scenario Analysis, and Prioritization

  • Assessing the likelihood, impact, uncertainty, and potential speed of risk development.
  • Evaluating direct, indirect, and interconnected consequences.
  • Applying qualitative and quantitative assessment methods where appropriate.
  • Developing plausible scenarios based on key drivers and uncertainties.
  • Using scenario analysis to test strategic assumptions and operational resilience.
  • Prioritizing emerging risks according to severity, strategic relevance, and time horizon.
  • Identifying potential opportunities arising from emerging developments.
  • Practical exercise: Develop alternative scenarios for a priority emerging risk and assess their implications for organizational strategy and operations.
Day 4

Early-Warning Indicators and Enterprise Risk Integration

  • Designing early-warning indicators for priority emerging risks.
  • Establishing thresholds, escalation triggers, and monitoring responsibilities.
  • Integrating horizon scanning findings into enterprise risk registers.
  • Connecting emerging risks with strategic planning, investment decisions, and business continuity.
  • Evaluating risk interdependencies and potential cascading effects.
  • Defining management responses, contingency options, and preparedness measures.
  • Establishing reporting arrangements for risk committees and executive management.
  • Practical exercise: Develop an early-warning dashboard and define escalation actions for selected emerging risks.
Day 5

Strategic Foresight and Emerging Risk Action Planning

  • Translating scanning findings into strategic implications and management decisions.
  • Reviewing scenarios and testing the robustness of existing strategies.
  • Establishing governance for ongoing horizon scanning and emerging risk review.
  • Defining responsibilities across risk, strategy, operations, and specialist functions.
  • Prioritizing monitoring and response actions according to organizational exposure.
  • Developing a phased implementation roadmap and review schedule.
  • Establishing continuous learning and feedback mechanisms.
  • Final workshop: Prepare an emerging risk monitoring and response plan covering priority risks, supporting evidence, scenarios, early-warning indicators, accountable owners, escalation criteria, and strategic response actions.

Upcoming Dates

Selected date

Vienna · 22 – 26 Mar 2027 · Classroom

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CityDatesPrice per ParticipantEarly Bird
Cape TownScheduled
2 – 6 Nov 2026€5,100—
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CasablancaScheduled
2 – 6 Nov 2026€4,300—
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DammamScheduled
9 – 13 Nov 2026€4,200—
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DohaScheduled
16 – 20 Nov 2026€4,400—
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DubaiScheduled
22 – 26 Nov 2026€4,400€3,960until 2 Nov
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GenevaScheduled
30 Nov – 4 Dec 2026€6,300€5,670until 9 Nov
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IstanbulScheduled
7 – 11 Dec 2026€4,700€4,230until 16 Nov
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JeddahScheduled
13 – 17 Dec 2026€4,200€3,780until 23 Nov
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KigaliScheduled
21 – 25 Dec 2026€5,100€4,590until 30 Nov
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Kuala LumpurScheduled
21 – 25 Dec 2026€4,400€3,960until 30 Nov
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LisbonScheduled
28 Dec 2026 – 1 Jan 2027€5,400€4,860until 7 Dec
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LondonScheduled
4 – 8 Jan 2027€5,600€5,040until 14 Dec
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MadinahScheduled
11 – 15 Jan 2027€4,200€3,780until 21 Dec
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MadridScheduled
18 – 22 Jan 2027€5,400€4,860until 28 Dec
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MakkahScheduled
25 – 29 Jan 2027€4,200€3,780until 4 Jan
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ManamaScheduled
1 – 5 Feb 2027€4,700€4,230until 11 Jan
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MilanScheduled
8 – 12 Feb 2027€6,000€5,400until 18 Jan
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MuscatScheduled
8 – 12 Feb 2027€5,300€4,770until 18 Jan
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OnlineScheduled
14 – 18 Feb 2027€1,700€1,530until 25 Jan
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ParisScheduled
22 – 26 Feb 2027€5,700€5,130until 1 Feb
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RiyadhScheduled
1 – 5 Mar 2027€4,200€3,780until 8 Feb
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RomeScheduled
8 – 12 Mar 2027€5,800€5,220until 15 Feb
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Sharm El-SheikhScheduled
15 – 19 Mar 2027€4,300€3,870until 22 Feb
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ViennaScheduled
22 – 26 Mar 2027€5,700€5,130until 1 Mar
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AbujaScheduled
22 – 26 Mar 2027€5,100€4,590until 1 Mar
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AccraScheduled
29 Mar – 2 Apr 2027€5,100€4,590until 8 Mar
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AmmanScheduled
4 – 8 Apr 2027€3,100€2,790until 15 Mar
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AmsterdamScheduled
12 – 16 Apr 2027€5,400€4,860until 22 Mar
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BarcelonaScheduled
19 – 23 Apr 2027€5,400€4,860until 29 Mar
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CairoScheduled
26 – 30 Apr 2027€3,300€2,970until 5 Apr
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Available in: Istanbul · Dubai · London · Riyadh · Doha · Amsterdam

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